Here is how I think the nominees will fare in Monday's Oscars, in the order in which they could possibly win:
Best picture
American Hustle
Gravity
12 Years a Slave
Her
Dallas Buyers Club
Nebraska
The Wolf of Wall Street
Captain Phillips
Philomena
Best director -
Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
David O. Russell for American Hustle
Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
Martin Scorsese for The Wolf of Wall Street
Alexander Payne for Nebraska
Best original screenplay -
Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell for American Hustle
Spike Jonze for Her
Woody Allen for Blue Jasmine
Craig Borten and Melisa Wallack for Dallas Buyers Club
Bob Nelson for Nebraska
Best adapted screenplay -
JohnRidley for 12 Years a Slave
Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope for Philomena
Billy Ray for Captain Phillips
Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy and Ethan Hawke for Before Midnight
Terence Winter for The Wolf of Wall Street
Best foreign-language film -
The Great Beauty (from Italy)
The Hunt (from Denmark)
The Broken Circle Breakdown (from Belgium)
Omar (from Palestine)
The Missing Picture (from Cambodia)
Best lead actor -
Matthew McConaughey in Dallas Buyers Club
Leonardo DiCaprio in The Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejiofor in 12 Years a Slave
Bruce Dern in Nebraska
Christian Bale in American Hustle
Best lead actress -
Cate Blanchett in Blue Jasmine
Amy Adams in American Hustle
Judi Dench in Philomena
Sandra Bullock in Gravity
Meryl Streep in August: Osage County
Best supporting actor -
Jared Leto in Dallas Buyers Club
Bradley Cooper in American Hustle
Jonah Hill in The Wolf of Wall Street
Michael Fassbender in 12 Years a Slave
Barkhad Abdi in Captain Phillips
Best supporting actress -
Lupita Nyong'o in 12 Years a Slave
Jennifer Lawrence in American Hustle
June Squibb in Nebraska
Julia Roberts in August: Osage County
Sally Hawkins in Blue Jasmine
